Earthquake prediction - a statistician's view.

A Statisticians View on Bayesian Evaluation of Informative Hypotheses

Earthquake prediction : a political problem ?

Earthquake prediction is an area of research of great scientific and public fascination. The reason for this is not only that earthquakes can cause extremely large numbers of fatalities in a short time, but also because earthquakes can have a large social and economic impact on society. Earthquake prediction in the sense of making deterministic predictions about the place, time, and magnitude o...

Earthquake intensity distributions: a new view

Pioneering work by Nicolas Ambraseys and many collaborators demonstrates both the tremendous value of macroseismic data and the perils of its uncritical assessment. In numerous publications he shows that neglect of original sources and/or failure to appreciate the context of historical accounts, as well as use of unreliable indicators such as landsliding to determine intensities, commonly leads...

Rethinking Earthquake Prediction

We re-examine and summarize what is now possible in predicting earthquakes, what might be accomplished (and hence might be possible in the next few decades) and what types of predictions appear to be inherently impossible based on our understanding of earthquakes as complex phenomena. We take predictions to involve a variety of time scales from seconds to a few decades. Earthquake warnings and ...

Earthquake Prediction through Animal Behavior: A Review

This paper presents a review of the work done in earthquake prediction using abnormal animal behavior. The earthquake prediction can be done using the abnormal behavior of animals preceding earthquake occurrence in seismically active region because of their relatively more capability than humans of perceiving certain kind of geophysical stimuli which may precede earthquake. The international wo...